Thursday, May 28, 2020

BBC News - UK furlough scheme now covers 8.4 million workers

WorkersImage copyrightGETTY IMAGES
Some 8.4 million workers are now covered by the government's furlough scheme, up from eight million a week earlier, the Treasury has said.
Claims for subsidies filed by employers rose to £15bn from £11.1bn, it added.
The scheme, brought in to mitigate the effects of coronavirus, allows employees to receive 80% of their monthly salary up to £2,500.
A similar scheme for self-employed workers saw 2.3 million claims made worth £6.8bn.
The Self-Employed Income Support Scheme, as it is known, differs from the furlough scheme because it is a grant paid out in a single instalment covering three months and amounting to 80% of average profit.
The furlough scheme, officially called the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme, was originally intended to last until the end of July, but has now been extended until the end of October.
Chancellor Rishi Sunak has confirmed that it will continue to provide the same level of earnings, but has said the government will ask companies to "start sharing" the cost of the scheme from August.
Sources have told the BBC the Treasury still expects to be paying more than half the costs between August and October.
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'I'm one of the people who slipped through the cracks'

Sian MelonieImage copyrightSIAN MELONIE
Marketing professional Sian Melonie, from Hackney in east London, is one of the many people who, through no fault of their own, are not in a position to benefit from the government's furlough scheme or its help for self-employed workers.
After 12 years in work, she decided to go self-employed last year and began working for a large cinema group.
She was due to start a fixed-term contract from 30 March, but that offer was withdrawn when the pandemic hit.
"l don't qualify for any support. I can't be furloughed and I don't qualify for self-employed benefits, because I'm new to it," she told the BBC. "I'm one of the people who slipped through the cracks."
But Sian says she is not angry and is using her savings to tide her over. "However, my concern is how much longer it goes on for, because l am essentially spending what l had saved for my self-assessment tax for later this year.
"I'm hoping things get back to normal and the economy can bounce back."
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Recent figures from the government's independent economic forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility, indicate that the cost of the government's efforts to combat the coronavirus pandemic is expected to hit £123.2bn.
Analysis box by Faisal Islam, economics editor
The wages for nearly 11 million jobs are currently being paid by the taxpayer amid the still ongoing pandemic shutdowns. Supporting a third of all jobs at £22bn bill so far is still believed to represent value for money by the Government.
The 8.4 million on the furlough scheme have kept their contractual relationship with their bosses. Those jobs can be "switched back on" as lockdowns are lifted. Not all of them will be, but it has been an incredible logistical effort from HMRC to process this. And in the next few days the Treasury will announce that employers will enjoy more flexibility, enabling them to bring back furloughed workers part time.
They will though, get a smaller rate of subsidy from August.
However, the self employment scheme remains due for expiry within days.
The level of unemployment - which has been kept much lower than it would have been - will inevitably go up as support is phased away.
But Downing Street appears to have developed a taste for such intervention. With recovery like to take longer than originally hoped, versions of such schemes are likely to be with us for some time.
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The OBR expects annual borrowing to equal 15.2% of the UK economy, which would be the highest since the 22.1% seen at the end of World War Two.
It said it had increased its estimate because of the rising cost of the furlough scheme.
If you have been affected by the furlough scheme, email:haveyoursay@bbc.co.uk.

Wednesday, May 27, 2020

Reuters News - Why U.S. energy CEOs will get big payouts despite oil meltdown

BOSTON/NEW YORK (Reuters) - National Oilwell Varco Inc (NOV) has had a rough few years: Since 2017, the Houston company, whose drilling equipment is in major oilfields worldwide, has lost two-thirds of its value, costing shareholders a combined $9 billion.

Despite that performance, Chief Executive Clay Williams pocketed $3.3 million in stock in late February, solely because his company’s total shareholder return over the three years ending in 2019 was not as bad as most of his beleaguered peers.
U.S. energy executives have retained such lavish payouts even as they have struggled for years to deliver shareholder returns - despite massive growth in domestic shale oil production.
Now executives’ compensation is being insulated from the pain of the worst energy crisis in four decades, caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Stay-at-home orders to fight the virus have crushed demand for fossil fuels worldwide, forcing companies to cut thousands of jobs, slash billions in capital spending and, in some cases, fight for survival. On Thursday, NOV suspended its dividend to conserve cash.
Company spokesman Blake McCarthy said NOV has recently worked to make executive pay terms more “shareholder friendly,” including a new cap on payouts for negative returns, which the company disclosed in an April filing.
Williams and his peers, however, are in line for another round of big payouts. CEOs at energy companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index are sitting on $140 million in performance-based share grants made in 2019 that are scheduled to vest in 2021 and 2022, according to a Reuters review of their latest pay disclosures.
The reason? Energy companies, more than any other sector, measure performance only against other companies in the same industry, who tend to suffer at similar times. They use a metric called relative total shareholder return (TSR) and benchmark it against a pre-determined group of peer companies - making it possible for executives to get big payouts even if their companies’ stocks lose value.
That system means the heavy shareholder losses expected this year will likely not translate to big reductions in CEO stock awards because the pandemic hit all oil companies in roughly equal measure.

WINNING FOR LOSING

With relative TSR as a key component of pay packages, energy company CEOs have been winning for losing for at least a decade. Investors, meanwhile, have just been losing. The total return of the S&P 500 Energy Index .SPNY is 1% over the past decade, as of May 26, a period when the broader S&P 500’s total return rose by 243%.
Slightly more than one-third of S&P 500 companies benchmark relative TSR against a broad index of firms. No energy companies do, according to compensation research firm Exequity LLP.
Some of the worst performers in the energy sector recently awarded executives multi-million dollar payments as motivation to stay put and manage through the downturn. Chesapeake Energy Corp (CHK.N), for example, handed out $25 million in cash bonuses to executives just before it disclosed in May that it was considering bankruptcy.
Chesapeake did not respond to requests for comment.
Ben Dell, managing partner at investment firm Kimmeridge, said oil and gas firms are telling investors to be grateful the system works because, in some cases, CEOs are not getting 100% of their performance-based payouts.
“The abuse has been going on for years,” said Dell, a critic of excessive executive compensation whose firm buys stakes in underperforming energy companies to push for change.
He said investors would benefit from reforms in CEO pay structures, but that the barriers to change are high because investors generally put little pressure on companies to rein in executive pay.
In proxy votes, investors overwhelmingly approve CEO pay packages in all sectors of the U.S. economy, including energy, regardless of stock performance. Average say-on-pay support in the energy sector was 90% in 2019, according to research firm Semler Brossy Consulting Group LLC. At NOV’s May 20 annual meeting, executive compensation received more than 90% support from shareholders.
Exequity senior advisor Ben Burney, a leading expert on relative TSR, said it is fair for energy firms to judge their executives through comparisons to peers with similar business models. The volatility of energy prices makes broader comparisons more difficult, he said.
“If you are at the top of the group, you get more. If you’re at the bottom of the group you get less,” Burney said. “You don’t have to reset goals with the ebb and flow of energy prices.”

A $1.3 MILLION PAYOUT AS SHAREHOLDERS LOSE BIG

More than 90% of the largest U.S. oil and gas companies use relative TSR to calculate long-term stock incentives for senior executives, Burney said. Across the S&P 500, 60% of companies use relative TSR.
The use of relative TSR has helped top executives at the 15 largest oil and gas producers receive more than $2 billion in reported compensation in the last decade, said Doug Terreson, an energy analyst at Evercore ISI.
For example, Devon Energy Corp (DVN.N) CEO David Hager received $1.3 million in stock at the end of January as a reward for total shareholder returns falling by 41% over three years. That was good enough for an 11th place finish among its 15-company peer group, Devon disclosed in its proxy.
Hager received only 60% of his target grant because Devon’s TSR was below median performance in the peer group. The previous year, he received no TSR-related payout because Devon ranked 13th out of 15 peers.
A spokesman for Devon declined to comment.
Over the past three years, Williams of NOV has been paid about $13 million on average annually. In February, he received shares equivalent to 200% of his original 2017 stock grant because the company’s relative TSR – a 32% decline in shareholder returns – was in the top quartile of the peer group.
The company’s board of directors increased the number of shares it granted Williams in 2019 to keep his compensation high even as the stock lost value, another common tactic by energy firms over the past three years, according to company filings.
NOV’s new cap limits CEOs to collecting 100% of their targeted stock grants if the company posts a negative three-year total return, regardless of how it stacks up against peer firms, according to the company’s April proxy filing. That rule did not apply to Williams’ payout in February.

INVESTORS FLEE

Many investors have lost patience with the poor returns of energy firms. Shale oil companies helped make the United States the world’s largest producer of oil and gas, but that hasn’t translated to bottom-line growth.
Since the end of 2016, the market capitalization of the S&P 500 Energy Index .SPNY has fallen to about $725 billion, down 46%, according to data from financial information provider Refinitiv. Large-capitalization growth mutual funds, such as Fidelity’s $100 billion-plus Contrafund (FCNTX.O), have largely avoided energy stocks.
Those left investing in energy are primarily passively managed index funds and smaller investment firms that typically do not have the same capacity to scrutinize executive compensation, nor the reputational heft to influence entrenched boards and management teams.
Some investors are starting to push back, however. They are telling energy companies to include the S&P 500 index in their benchmark peer group. Burney said at least 42% of energy companies have agreed to cap awards if they have negative returns.
Shawn Reynolds, a natural resources portfolio manager at asset manager VanEck, said paying executives based on relative performance – and rewarding negative returns – gives them a warped definition of success.
“Executive compensation has to reflect the experience of the long-term shareholder,” he said. “You can’t expect to lose 20% of your stock price and get paid just because the industry loses 30%.”
Reporting By Tim McLaughlin and David French; editing by David Gaffen and Brian Thevenot

Tuesday, May 26, 2020

BBC News - Coronavirus: Von der Leyen calls €750bn recovery fund 'Europe's moment'

A major recovery fund worth €750bn (£670bn; $825bn) has been proposed by the EU's executive Commission to help the EU tackle an "unprecedented crisis".
The package will be made up of grants and loans for every EU member state.
Economies across the 27-nation EU bloc have been ravaged by the Covid-19 pandemic, but several southern states had big debts even before the crisis.
Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said "this is Europe's moment".
"Things we take for granted are being questioned. None of that can be fixed by any single country alone," she told the European Parliament. "This is about all of us and it is way bigger than any of us."
The Commission has dubbed the plan Next Generation EU. Without the backing of all 27 EU member states, it cannot go ahead. But Germany and France have backed plans for the money to be raised on the capital markets.
Economy Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni said the fund was a "European turning point" that would be added to instruments that had already been launched.
Several "frugal" states object to taking on debt for other countries. Austria, the Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden reject the idea of cash handouts to relatively poorer countries rather than low-interest loans.

What did the Commission president say?

Mrs von der Leyen said the €750bn fund would be made up of €500bn in grants and €250bn in loans. It would be raised by lifting the EU's resources ceiling to 2% of EU gross national income and would be reliant on the EU's strong credit rating.
When added to a proposed €1.1 trillion budget for 2021-27, the €750bn recovery fund would bring to €1.85tn the amount that the Commission says will "kick-start our economy and ensure Europe bounces forward".
When added to an earlier €540bn initial rescue package, that would amount to a total of €2.4tn, said the Commission president.
EU stimulus composition
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The EU's much-cherished four freedoms had to be fully restored, she added, those of freedom of people, goods, services and capital.
She said "this is an urgent and exceptional need for an urgent and exceptional crisis".
The money raised on the capital markets would be paid back over 30 years between 2028 and 2058, but not later.
The Commission says it could be paid back in several ways:
  • A carbon tax based on the Emissions Trading Scheme
  • A digital tax
  • A tax on non-recycled plastic.

Commissioner Maros Sefcovic says recovery has to be based on green and digital policies as well as "increased resilience" and lessons learned from the Covid-19 crisis.
The budget will be "equipped with increased firepower to be able to generate massive investment at the scale and speed needed to kick-start all our economies", he says.
The European Central Bank has played a key role in helping eurozone countries emerge from the debt crisis with its stimulus programme of bond-buying. But concerns about the ECB programme's future were raised earlier this month when Germany's top court ruled that it violated the German constitution.
The UK has left the EU so is unlikely to have any involvement in the fund as it stands.

What do the member states say?

Spain and Italy have seen the highest number of deaths in the EU during the coronavirus crisis and, in the wake of the financial crisis, are particularly keen on grants rather than loans being added to their public debt.
Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte praised the EU for going in the direction that Italy had recommended. "Now let's speed up the negotiation and make the resources available soon," he said.
How each country will benefit
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French President Emmanuel Macron hailed it as an "essential day for Europe" adding that it was the Franco-German agreement that had made the recovery fund plan possible.
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez was less forthcoming: The plan included "many of our demands" and was "a starting point for negotiations", he said. Greece said it was a "bold proposal" and it was now up to member states to "rise to the occasion".
There was a more cautious reaction from some of the so-called "frugal" states. A Dutch diplomat told the BBC it was difficult to imagine the proposal would be the "end state" of the negotiations.
Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte summed up the feelings of the wealthier states of Northern Europe on Tuesday. A fund was necessary to stimulate recovery, he said, but "we believe this should consist of loans, without any mutualisation of debts".

How green is the recovery fund?

Analysis box by Roger Harrabin, Environment analyst
Plans for the long-heralded Green Recovery Fund have been given a partial welcome by environment groups, even though exact details are yet to be revealed.
Campaigners have argued that it is vital for the EU to spend its post Covid-19 stimulus on projects that will also help tackle the climate crisis.
They say the package should drive investment into projects needed to meet Europe's net zero emissions target.
That includes building renovation, renewables, clean transport, industrial innovation and better land use and food systems.
But there's annoyance that Brussels has given way to regions by allowing them to spend their funds however they want until 2022 - even if that means investing in schemes which are good for job-creation but bad for the climate.
Euro coin with Greek flag
Reuters
Highest public debt in eurozone
Ratio of government debt to GDP
  • 176.6%Greece has highest public debt ratio
  • 134.8%Italy is second highest
  • 117.7%Portugal
  • 98% Belgium & France
  • 95.5% Spain & Cyprus
Source: Eurostat

Friday, May 22, 2020

Reuters News - Trump ouster of inspectors general threatens coronavirus stimulus watchdog

These inspectors general, known as IGs, have been appointed by presidents or agency heads since the late 1970s to serve in various federal departments and agencies to guard against illegal conduct and mismanagement.
An oversight board, the Pandemic Response Accountability Committee (PRAC), was established by lawmakers with an $80 million budget and broad reach to ferret out “fraud, waste, abuse and mismanagement” in the massive coronavirus response measures.
Its membership includes IGs tasked with monitoring and informing the public https://pandemic.oversight.gov about the Trump administration’s handling of the pandemic, from public health to doling out money. Trump’s firings have raised questions about how effectively the board can provide oversight at a time when IGs may fear for their jobs.
In the past six weeks, Trump has ousted five IGs after saying he lost confidence in them. Three IGs serving on the committee were among them: the Transportation Department’s Mitch Behm, the Pentagon’s Glenn Fine and Christi Grimm of the Department of Health and Human Services. The other two IGs were involved in high-profile investigations involving Trump or his allies: the intelligence community’s Michael Atkinson and the State Department’s Steve Linick.
Fine had headed the PRAC before Trump removed him as acting IG and demoted him to another post.


“It really is kind of a reign of terror that is unleashed for the IG community and at a time when their oversight is more needed and more necessary than frankly any time that I can remember,” said Michael Bromwich, a Justice Department inspector general under Democratic former President Bill Clinton. “That is bad for everyone, but it’s worse for the public.”
Democrats and other critics have accused Trump of targeting the IGs in a bid to ensure that only political loyalists serve in these key posts. For example, it was Atkinson who last year deemed “credible” a whistleblower complaint against the Republican president that set in motion events that led to his impeachment in the House of Representatives in December. Trump was acquitted and left in office by the Senate in February.
Trump on Monday suggested that any IG appointed by his Democratic predecessor Barack Obama should be dismissed.

‘THE RIGHT REASON’

Federal decisions during the pandemic will have lasting economic and public health consequences, said Noah Bookbinder, executive director of CREW, a Washington-based nonprofit watchdog group.
“You have to know these are being made for the right reason,” Bookbinder said.
A $700 billion bailout package after the financial crisis more than a decade ago was implemented with little fraud or abuse, Bookbinder said, in part due to a “fully empowered IG, oversight provisions and aggressive oversight from Congress.”
Democrats including House Speaker Nancy Pelosi have raised questions about the legality of Trump’s actions toward IGs. Pelosi said on Sunday firing an inspector general as political retaliation “could be unlawful.” While the Democratic-led House has launched inquiries into some of the IG removals, the Republican-controlled Senate has shown less appetite to do so.
IGs sit inside executive branch agencies, having a unique duty to report their findings to both Congress and agency heads. Their job is meant to be nonpartisan, but a president has a right to remove them for any reason. U.S. law requires a president to notify Congress within 30 days of such action.
There was only one previous attempted mass firing of IGs. Republican President Ronald Reagan in 1981 moved to fire IGs installed by his Democratic predecessor Jimmy Carter, but rehired some after a political uproar.
Trump’s targeting of IGs who were in office before he became president is not a new development. Before taking office in January 2017, his transition team informed several IGs that they would be removed. The White House dropped those plans after IGs expressed concerns to lawmakers.
Reporting by Sarah N. Lynch; Editing by Heather Timmons and Will Dunham